Figure 1: U.S. CPI YoY vs. U.S. 10-year Treasury Yield (Monthly)

Understanding Treasury futures

Why do bond prices and yields move in opposite directions?

Figure 2: 10-year T-Note futures vs. 10-year Yield (Monthly)

Understanding duration

Treasury inter-commodity spreads (ICS)

The yield curve

Figure 3: U.S. Treasury yield curve

Figure 4: U.S. 2y10y yield spread

Implications of the yield curve's shape

Figure 5: U.S. Treasury yield curve's shape change over time

Tools for yield curve trading

Determining ratios for Treasury ICS

Figure 6: CME Group Treasury inter-commodity spreads (ICS)

Pricing of Treasury ICS

Case studies

Case study 1: Bull steepener in 2y10y spread (long TUTZ4)

Figure 7: U.S. 2y10y Treasury Yield spread (Weekly)

Case Study 2: Bull flattener in 5y30y spread (short FOBZ4)

Figure 8: U.S. 5y30y Treasury Yield Spread (Weekly)

Conclusion

Figure 9: Government 10-year Yields of Major Economies (Weekly)