International Grains Monthly Update – March 2020

BWF and BCF volume in February 2020

Black Sea Wheat volume in February 2020: futures 17,498 lots, options 910 lots; open interest (across futures and options) of 34,886 lots at month-end. Black Sea Corn (BCF) in February 2020: 1,540 lots, first trades in BCF Jun 20 contract month.

BWF (Feb’20) vs. Chicago Wheat and KC Wheat (Mar’20)

Correlation
Black Sea Premium
Market Volatility

BWF (May’20) vs. Chicago Wheat and KC Wheat (Jul’20)

Correlation
Black Sea Premium
Market Volatility

BCF vs. Chicago Corn – Mar’20

Correlation
Black Sea Premium
Market Volatility

BCF vs. Chicago Corn – May’20

Correlation
Black Sea Premium
Market Volatility

Options watch

Black Sea Wheat option strike/ expiry month: open interest as of February 28, 2020

Commitments of Traders (as of February 25)


Disclaimer

Neither futures trading nor swaps trading are suitable for all investors, and each involves the risk of loss. Swaps trading should only be undertaken by investors who are Eligible Contract Participants (ECPs) within the meaning of Section 1a(18) of the Commodity Exchange Act. Futures and swaps each are leveraged investments and, because only a percentage of a contract's value is required to trade, it is possible to lose more than the amount of money deposited for either a futures or swaps position. Therefore, traders should only use funds that they can afford to lose without affecting their lifestyles and only a portion of those funds should be devoted to any one trade because traders cannot expect to profit on every trade. All references to options refer to options on futures.

Any research views expressed those of the individual author and do not necessarily represent the views of the CME Group or its affiliates. The information within this presentation has been compiled by CME Group for general purposes only. CME Group assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. All examples are hypothetical situations, used for explanation purposes only, and should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.

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