Option Product |
April ADV |
Year/Year % Change |
---|---|---|
Corn |
165,948 |
115% |
Soybean |
77,816 |
100% |
Chicago SRW Wheat |
29,361 |
-2% |
Soybean Oil |
16,472 |
141% |
Short-Dated New Crop Option |
10,860 |
139% |
Soybean Meal |
10,786 |
5% |
Live Cattle |
10,065 |
-10% |
Ag Weekly Option |
8,277 |
122% |
Hogs |
7,542 |
-50% |
KC HRW Wheat |
3,201 |
-37% |
Feeder Cattle |
1,296 |
10% |
Class III Milk |
1,211 |
-62% |
Corn, SRW Wheat, and Soybean volatility – Looking at the CVOL Index, which measures 30-day constant maturity, we see Corn and SRW Wheat increase by approximately 10 volatility points in April. It is interesting to note that Soybean volatility has not followed the same trajectory.
Average July implied volatility in the month of April ‒ As the CVOL Index is showing, recent volatility has increased dramatically, but to put things in historical context, 2021 is a different environment compared to 2008 and 2009.
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CVOL Skew – The chart below shows historical skew for Corn, Soybeans, and SRW Wheat. As you can see from the chart, SRW Wheat (orange line) saw a dramatic increase in calls relative to puts during April. The CVOL Skew Index looks at the 25-delta call and put.
C-Cross – Given the increase in volatility and limit moves experienced during April, market participants are reaching out to brokers to help facilitate orders via C-Cross in record fashion.
Steven A Stasys
Senior Director, Agricultural Options
steven.stasys@cmegroup.com
+312-648-3822
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