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EMU: PMI Composite Flash
| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
| Composite Index | 50.7 | 50.0 to 52.0 | 50.5 | 51.9 |
| Manufacturing Index | 49.7 | 49.0 to 51.5 | 51.4 | 50.8 |
| Services Index | 50.8 | 50.0 to 52.0 | 50.1 | 51.8 |
Highlights
Flash PMI survey data for the Euro area showed an increase in the manufacturing index from 50.8 in February to 51.4 in March and a fall in the services index from 51.9 to 50.1. The composite index fell from 51.9 in February to 50.5 in March. Final data will be published early next month.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
The consensus sees the PMI composite flash stalling a bit at 50.7 in March versus 51.9 in the February final. Manufacturing PMI is seen at 49.7 in the March flash versus 50.8 in February final. The services PMI is seen at 50.8 in the March flash versus 51.9 in February final.
Definition
The flash Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) provides an early estimate of current private sector business activity by combining information obtained from surveys of the manufacturing and service sectors of the economy. The flash data are released around ten days ahead of the final report and are typically based upon around 75-85 percent of the full survey sample. Results covering a range of variables including manufacturing output, employment, new orders, backlogs and prices are synthesised into a single index which can range between zero and 100. A reading above (below) 50 signals rising (falling) activity versus the previous month and the closer to 100 (zero) the faster is activity growing (contracting). The report also contains flash estimates of the manufacturing and services PMIs. The survey, produced by S&P Global uses a representative sample of around 5,000 manufacturing and services companies, the former including Germany, France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Austria, the Republic of Ireland and Greece and the latter Germany, France, Italy, Spain and the Republic of Ireland.
Description
Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. By tracking economic data such as the purchasing managers' manufacturing indexes, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for the various markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures.