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DE: Manufacturing Orders
| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
| Month over Month | -0.7% | -1.3% to 0.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Year over Year | 0.0% | -0.5% | -1.5% |
Highlights
Germany's manufacturing sector recorded a notable rebound in November 2025, driven largely by a surge in new orders rather than a broad-based recovery in demand. Real new orders rose by 5.6 percent month-over-month, a sharp acceleration from October's modest increase. However, once large-scale orders are stripped out, the rise was far more contained at 0.7 percent, suggesting that headline strength was heavily concentrated in a few major contracts.
Sectoral performance was uneven. Exceptional growth in fabricated metal products and other transport equipment dominated the monthly increase, reflecting the impact of high-value, project-based orders. More moderate gains across electrical equipment, machinery, and electronics helped stabilise the broader industrial base. Capital goods led the expansion, while intermediate goods recorded only marginal growth.
Demand conditions also showed signs of balance. Domestic orders rose strongly, and foreign demand improved, particularly from the euro area. Turnover followed orders upward, increasing by 2.7 percent in November. Overall, the data suggest a manufacturing upswing that is positive but still reliant on episodic large orders, rather than a fully entrenched cyclical recovery. The latest update takes the RPI to minus 23 and the RPI-P to minus 7, meaning that economic activities continue to fall short of expectations in Germany.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Orders are seen falling back by 0.7 percent in November after rising 1.5 percent in October on month.
Definition
Manufacturers orders are a leading indicator for industrial production. The figures are calculated every month by the Federal Statistical Office and represent the value of all orders for the delivery of self-made products confirmed by industrial enterprises with 50 or more employees in the respective reporting period. The results are broken down by both sector and region of origin (domestic and foreign split into euro area and non-euro area). Monthly volatility can be very high so moving averages give a much better guide to underlying trends.
Description
Manufacturers orders data are keenly awaited by analysts each month. The data present a detailed breakdown by various sectors and a reading of the pulse of a major sector of the economy. Like the PPI, manufacturing orders data exclude construction, which is the preferred Eurostat measure.
The manufacturers orders data rank among the most important early indicators for monitoring and analyzing German economic wellbeing. Because these data are available for both foreign and domestic orders they are a good indication of the relative strength of the domestic and export economies. The results are compiled each month in the form of value indexes to measure the nominal development of demand and in the form of volume indexes to illustrate the price-adjusted development of demand. Unlike in the U.S., orders data are not collected for all manufacturing classifications - but only those parts in which the make-to-order production plays a prominent role. Not included are, for example, mining, quarrying and the food industry.