Actual Previous
Composite Index 54.3 54.3

Highlights

The S&P Global PMI survey for India's services sector stabilised in August, with the survey's main business activity index increasing to 54.1 from a four-year low 53.3 in July. This is below the flash estimate of 54.5. In contrast, the manufacturing sector PMI, published earlier in the week, showed a fall in its headline index. The composite index covering both sectors was unchanged at 54.3 in August, below the flash estimate of 54.6.

The service sector survey showed faster growth in output and new orders in August, but a steady increase in new export orders. Payrolls were reported to have risen at the fastest pace in more than a year, while the survey’s measure of confidence was steady near a seven-month low. Respondents also reported a slightly stronger increase in input costs and also a bigger increase in selling prices.

Definition

The Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) is a joint publication by Markit and the Nikkei media organisation and provides an estimate of business activity in private sector services for the previous month by using information obtained from a representative sector survey incorporating around 800 companies. Results are synthesised into a single index which can range between zero and 100. A reading above (below) 50 signals rising (falling) activity versus the previous month and the closer to 100 (zero) the faster is activity growing (contracting).

Description

Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. By tracking economic data such as the Markit PMIs, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for the various markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures.

The survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month based on data collected mid-month. For each of the indicators the report shows the percentage reporting each response, the net difference between the number of higher/better responses and lower/worse responses, and the diffusion index. This index is the sum of the positive responses plus a half of those responding the same.

The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) survey methodology has developed an outstanding reputation for providing the most up-to-date possible indication of what is really happening in the private sector economy by tracking variables such as sales, employment, inventories and prices. The indices are widely used by businesses, governments and economic analysts in financial institutions to help better understand business conditions and guide corporate and investment strategy. In particular, central banks in many countries use the data to help make interest rate decisions. PMI surveys are the first indicators of economic conditions published each month and are therefore available well ahead of comparable data produced by government bodies.

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