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US: Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey
| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
| General Activity Index | 6.0 | 1.0 to 7.2 | 9.8 | 11.6 |
| Production Index | 29.5 | 16.1 |
Highlights
Current business activity picks up steam in September, the Dallas Fed's manufacturing survey shows. The overall business activity index was nearly unchanged at 9.8 from 11.6 in August. The Econoday consensus looked for 6.0 for September.
Production, shipments and new orders all accelerated in September from August with production up to 29.5 from 16.1, shipments at 24.8 from 14.1, and new orders at 30.7 from 22.0.
On the concerning side, input price pressures continue to increase with the prices paid index up to 52.2 from 44.1 as its rising trend continues. Selling prices are at 27.6 versus 22.7.
Definition
The Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey tracks factory activity in Texas on a monthly basis. Firms are asked whether output, employment, orders, prices and other indicators increased, decreased or remained unchanged over the previous month. Responses are aggregated into balance indexes where positive values generally indicate growth while negative values generally indicate contraction. About 100 manufacturers regularly participate in the survey.
Description
Investors track economic data like the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey to understand the economic backdrop for the various markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers a moderate growth environment that will not generate inflationary pressures. The Dallas Survey gives a detailed look at Texas' manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where it is headed. Since manufacturing is a major sector of the economy, this report can have a big influence on the markets. Some of the survey indexes also provide insight on inflation pressures -- including prices paid, prices received, wages & benefits, and capacity utilization. The Federal Reserve closely watches this report because when inflation signals are flashing, policymakers can reset the direction of interest rates. As a consequence, the bond market can be highly sensitive to this report. The equity market is also sensitive to this report because it is an early clue on the nation's manufacturing sector, reported in advance of the ISM manufacturing index and often in advance of the NAPM-Chicago index.