| Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|
| Month over Month | 0.1% | -1.0% |
| Year over Year | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| HICP - M/M | 0.1% | -1.1% |
| HICP - Y/Y | 0.9% | 1.1% |
Highlights
Energy prices continue to fall, dropping 5.6 percent year-on-year in October, extending the 4.4 percent decline last month, driven by gasoline and petroleum products. Food price gains slowed during the reporting month, gaining 1.3 percent from October of last year, down from 1.7 percent in September. This was helped by a 2.2 percent drop in fresh food prices, a sharp contrast to the 1.6 percent increase in September.
Prices for services remain elevated, rising 2.4 percent year-on-year in September and October, while those for manufactured products are seen falling 0.5 percent in October, year-on-year, after a 0.4 percent yearly drop in September. The manufacturing sector has been under pressure with other reports noting price discounting due to competitive pressures and companies attempting to hold on to market share.
The HICP measure used to compare inflation among European economies is also seen slowing October, to 0.9 percent year-on-year after a 1.1 percent increase the previous month. After falling 1.1 percent month-on-month in September, prices are seen rebounding to 0.1 percent in October. The sharp contrast in the monthly data is due to increased transportation prices and, to some degree, manufactured goods prices.
Today's result, while only for France, shows the lack of inflationary pressures that could concern the ECB and support the central bank's decision earlier this week to maintain its monetary policy stance. PPI data, also released today, also show no evidence of pipeline inflation heating up.
Definition
Description
France like other EMU countries has both a national CPI and a harmonized index of consumer prices (HICP). The HICP is calculated to give a comparable inflation measure for the EMU. Components and weights within the national CPI vary from other countries, reflecting national idiosyncrasies.
Inflation is an increase in the overall prices of goods and services. The relationship between inflation and interest rates is the key to understanding how indicators such as the CPI influence the markets - and your investments. As the rate of inflation changes and as expectations on inflation change, the markets adjust interest rates. The effect ripples across stocks, bonds, commodities, and your portfolio, often in a dramatic fashion.
By tracking inflation, whether high or low, rising or falling, investors can anticipate how different types of investments will perform. Over the long run, the bond market will rally (fall) when increases in the CPI are small (large). The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.