| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change | 0bp | 0bp to 0bp | 0bp | 0bp |
| Level | 2.0% | 2.0% to 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.00% |
Highlights
The Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) left its main policy rate unchanged at 2.00 percent at its quarterly policy meeting today, in line with the consensus forecast for no change. This rate has been on hold since an increase of 12.5 basis points in March 2024 took the rate to its highest level since 2008.
Data released since the CBC's previous policy meeting in June have shown steady and low headline inflation. Activity data have been mixed, with growth in industrial production moderating but still strong while PMI surveys have shown a contraction in the manufacturing sector. Export growth, meanwhile, has been very strong, boosted by demand for semiconductors.
Data released since the CBC's previous policy meeting in June have shown steady and low headline inflation. Activity data have been mixed, with growth in industrial production moderating but still strong while PMI surveys have shown a contraction in the manufacturing sector. Export growth, meanwhile, has been very strong, boosted by demand for semiconductors.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
The consensus sees no change in rates as growth continues to surprise and the Taiwan dollar has not been a concern.
Definition
Taiwan’s central bank, the Central Bank of the Republic of China, announces its monetary policy with regard to interest rates four times a year. The announcement conveys to the financial markets and investors what, if any, changes in policy might be. The main focus is the target set for the discount rate.
Description
The Central Bank of the Republic of China determines interest rate policy at four quarterly meetings during the year, with officials adjusting their main policy rate, the discount rate. A post-meeting statement is issued after each meeting, while the minutes of each meeting are published a few weeks later.
Monetary policy goals are to aid and abet solid economic growth along with rising living standards, and to keep inflation low, stable, and predictable. The level of interest rates affects the economy. Higher interest rates tend to slow economic activity; lower interest rates stimulate economic activity. Either way, interest rates influence the sales environment. In the consumer sector, few homes or cars will be purchased when interest rates rise. Furthermore, interest rate costs are a significant factor for many businesses, particularly for companies with high debt loads or who have to finance high inventory levels. This interest cost has a direct impact on corporate profits. The bottom line is that higher interest rates are bearish for the financial markets, while lower interest rates are bullish.
Monetary policy goals are to aid and abet solid economic growth along with rising living standards, and to keep inflation low, stable, and predictable. The level of interest rates affects the economy. Higher interest rates tend to slow economic activity; lower interest rates stimulate economic activity. Either way, interest rates influence the sales environment. In the consumer sector, few homes or cars will be purchased when interest rates rise. Furthermore, interest rate costs are a significant factor for many businesses, particularly for companies with high debt loads or who have to finance high inventory levels. This interest cost has a direct impact on corporate profits. The bottom line is that higher interest rates are bearish for the financial markets, while lower interest rates are bullish.
