Highlights
Kugler's resignation gives the president an early opportunity to add another cooperative voter to his two dovish appointees already on the Fed board, governors Bowman and Waller. That too is seen as raising the prospects for near-term aggressive rate cuts. Trump's move against the BLS commissioner and his attack on its data as manipulated to support Democrats is expected to undercut the credibility of official US data. It is being seen as another reason to resume the sell-America trade and to demand a bigger risk premium on US assets. That may play out in unfortunate ways this week as the US Treasury auctions another huge batch of coupons, starting with 3-year notes on Tuesday. Yields have plunged in response to the jobs report and Fed rate cut expectations, which makes for an awkward setup for the auctions this week.