| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual Rate | 4.000M | 3.900M to 4.100M | 3.93M | 4.03M | 4.04M |
| Month over Month | -2.7% | 0.8% | |||
| Year over Year | 0.0% | -0.7% |
Highlights
NAR data on sales of existing homes in June show a 2.7 percent decrease to a 3.93 million unit seasonally adjusted annual rate, a little below the consensus of 4.00 million units in the Econoday survey of forecasts. Sales of single-family homes is down 3.0 percent to 3.57 million units while multi-unit sales are unchanged at 360,000 units in June.
The supply of homes for sale is up to 4.7 months' worth in June after 4.6 in May. It is now consistently back to levels consistent with supplies of homes before the pandemic started in 2020. However, supplies of homes remain lean compared to pre-Covid conditions.
The median price of a home resale is $435,300 and is up 2.6 percent month-over-month and up 2.9 percent year-over-year. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun noted, Multiple years of undersupply are driving the record high home price. Home construction continues to lag population growth. This is holding back first-time home buyers from entering the market. More supply is needed to increase the share of first-time homebuyers in the coming years even though some markets appear to have a temporary oversupply at the moment. Prices have risen for 24 consecutive months. This is good news for current homeowners' equity, but makes it more difficult for first-time buyers to enter the market, Yun said.
Existing homes listed are on the market for an average of 27 days in June, the same as in May, and up from 22 days in June 2024. The market remains brisk. First-time homebuyers account for 30 percent of all sales which is also the same as in May and higher than 38 percent a year ago.
Distressed property sales remain at low levels at 3 percent in June and May, but up from 2 percent in June 2024.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Even though home resales don't always create new output, once the home is sold, it generates revenues for the realtor. It brings a myriad of consumption opportunities for the buyer.
Refrigerators, washers, dryers and furniture are just a few items home buyers might purchase. The economic"ripple effect" can be substantial especially when you think a hundred thousand new households around the country are doing this every month. Since the economic backdrop is the most pervasive influence on financial markets, home resales have a direct bearing on stocks, bonds and commodities. In a more specific sense, trends in the existing home sales data carry valuable clues for the stocks of home builders, mortgage lenders and home furnishings companies.