| Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Index | 49.5 | 49.5 to 49.5 | 49.8 | 48.7 |
Highlights
Although US tariff policy continues to weigh on the sector, there were positive developments as output rose for a second consecutive month, leading to increased factory employment. Business confidence rose to its highest reading since February 2022.
Price discounting was a big factor in stimulating demand, with the pain mitigated in part by moderating input prices. Cost pressures did weigh on inventories as manufacturers reduced their stockpiles. But on a more positive note, some inventories were reduced to fill orders which couldn't be filled by current production.
Business expectations are much improved from the end of last year, with a view towards increased military spending and more accommodative monetary and fiscal policy.
These are certainly encouraging signs, but the remaining big unknown is US trade policy which. Although meandering through the US court system, the US administration again remains commitment to its tariff policy.
Today's results put the Econoday Relative Performance Index at plus 6 from minus 5, with the RPI-P moving to plus 2 from minus 4.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The S&P Global PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.