Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 49.7 | 49.7 to 49.7 | 50.0 | 49.6 |
Services Index | 51.2 | 51.2 to 51.2 | 51.6 | 51.4 |
Highlights
At the national level, the best-performing countries were Spain (55.2) and Ireland (52.6), Italy (51.0) all of which saw an expansion of business activities. The weaker performing countries were Germany (48.6) and France (48.1), both of which fell short of the 50-growth threshold, signalling contraction. The decline of Germany and France offset the growth seen in the other countries.
The final service PMI for September was 51.6, above both the flash estimate (51.2) and final September mark (51.4) and signalling a modest expansion. Even so, new business decreased for the second time in a row with the fall in new business from abroad being the sharpest in the last 10 months. Outstanding orders were run down to support activity and employment continued to rise. Services input costs and output charges continued to increase, although rates of inflation held close to the lows seen in September.
Today's update puts the Eurozone RPI at 29 and the RPI-P at 20 meaning that overall economic activity is moderately outperforming market forecasts.