Actual | Previous | Consensus | Consensus Range | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Quarter over Quarter | 0.1% | -0.2% | ||
Year over Year | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% to 2.5% |
Highlights
This subdued headline GDP growth in the three months to September reflects weaker export growth, down 0. 4 percent on the quarter after a previous increase of 1.2 percent. Domestic demand, in contrast, improved. Private consumption rose 0.5 percent on the quarter after contracting by 0.2 percent previously, while investment spending rebounded with an increase of 0.7 percent after falling 1.4 percent previously. Government consumption rose at a steady pace.
At their most recent policy meeting earlier this month, officials at the Bank of Korea reduced policy rates by 25 basis points from 3.50 percent to 3.25 percent. This decision reflected officials' assessment that"that inflation will stabilize at the target level and that the moderate growth trend will continue" Officials also expressed confidence about the growth outlook, forecasting GDP to expand by 2.4 percent this year and by 2.1 percent next year.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Gross domestic product (GDP) can be measured using three approaches, namely the production, income and expenditure approaches. The production measure of GDP is derived from firm level data and estimates the value added by all producing industries in the South Korea economy. The income measure of GDP is derived from earnings data and estimates how the income earned from these producing industries is then distributed throughout the economy as returns to labor, capital and government. The expenditure measure of GDP is derived from data estimating spending on goods and services by final end users and includes consumption, investment and exports minus the value of imports.