Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 0.8% | 0.5% | -1.2% | -0.9% |
Year over Year | 1.5% | 1.4% | -0.2% | -0.3% |
Highlights
July's monthly gain was largely attributable to the non-food sector which, excluding auto fuel, saw a 1.4 percent rise. Within this, latter, there were sizeable increases in non-specialised stores (4.0 percent) and the other stores category (2.5 percent). However, household goods and textiles and clothing (both minus 0.6 percent) lost further ground. Elsewhere, non-store retailing was up 0.7 percent but auto fuel fell 1.9 percent.
Today's report puts overall second quarter sales up 1.1 percent versus the previous period, suggesting that, despite June's setback, the underlying trend is positive. However, it also leaves both the RPI (minus 22) and RPI-P (minus 13) in negative surprise territory, showing that economic activity in general is still struggling to keep up with market expectations.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
The pattern in consumer spending is often the foremost influence on stock and bond markets. For stocks, strong economic growth translates to healthy corporate profits and higher stock prices. For bonds, the focus is whether economic growth goes overboard and leads to inflation. Ideally, the economy walks that fine line between strong growth and excessive (inflationary) growth.
Retail sales not only give you a sense of the big picture, but also the trends among different types of retailers. Perhaps apparel sales are showing exceptional weakness but electronics sales are soaring. These trends from the retail sales data can help you spot specific investment opportunities, without having to wait for a company's quarterly or annual report.