Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Quarter over Quarter | 0.1% | -0.1% | 0.2% |
Year over Year | 0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% |
Highlights
The fall in real GDP growth was attributed to a fall in investments in equipment and construction. The earlier growth momentum from the first quarter has not been sustained, highlighting underlying vulnerabilities in the economy, particularly as it relates to new investments in the economy.
Despite the slight overall decrease in real GDP, this nuanced performance highlights the fragility of the economic recovery, underscoring the critical role of investment dynamics in shaping the broader economic landscape. As a result of the fall in the growth rate of economic activities, the RPI falls to minus 36, while the RPI-P falls to minus 51, indicating the German economy is performing well below market expectations, corroborating the weak economic growth in the second quarter of the year.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Each financial market reacts differently to GDP data because of their focus. For example, equity market participants cheer healthy economic growth because it improves the corporate profit outlook while weak growth generally means anemic earnings. Equities generally drop on disappointing growth and climb on good growth prospects.
Bond or fixed income markets are contrarians. They prefer weak growth so that there is less of a chance of higher central bank interest rates and inflation. When GDP growth is poor or negative it indicates anaemic or negative economic activity. Bond prices will rise and interest rates will fall. When growth is positive and good, interest rates will be higher and bond prices lower. Currency traders prefer healthy growth and higher interest rates. Both lead to increased demand for a local currency. However, inflationary pressures put pressure on a currency regardless of growth.