Consensus | Consensus Range | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month over Month | 2.0% | 0.6% to 2.5% | 2.8% | -0.1% | -0.9% |
Year over Year | -0.1% | -1.8% to 3.4% | 0.3% | -1.0% | -1.8% |
Highlights
It was stronger than the median forecast of a 2.0 percent rise and topped the forecasts that ranged from 0.6 percent to 2.5 percent gains. The increase was also led by electric machinery including lighting fixtures and navigation systems for vehicles as well as by general machinery such as conveyors and turbines.
From a year earlier, factory output posted the first increase in seven months, up 0.3 percent, following a downwardly revised 1.8 percent slump in the prior month. It was firmer than the consensus forecast of a 0.1 percent dip.
The METI's survey of producers indicated that output is expected to slip back 6.0 percent in June, led by lower output of production machinery and vehicles, before rising 3.6 percent in July on a rebound in production machinery and a rise in chemicals.
The ministry maintained its assessment after downgrading it for the first time in six months for the January data, saying industrial output"has weakened while taking one step forward and one step back." The METI repeated that it will keep a close watch on the effects of global economic growth and resumed automobile production.
Econoday's Relative Performance Index stands at plus 15, above zero, which indicates the Japanese economy is performing largely as expected. Excluding the impact of inflation, the RPI is plus 26.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Industrial production provides key industry data for this export-dependent economy. The data are issued twice a month-a preliminary estimate at the end of the month for the preceding month and a revised estimate about two weeks later. All products, whether sold domestically or abroad, are included in the calculation of industrial production. Industrial production is highly sensitive to the business cycle and can often predict future changes in employment, earnings and income. For these reasons industrial production is considered a reliable leading indicator that conveys information about the overall health of the economy. This report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.