Highlights
In the US, the small business optimism index compiled by the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) has been below the historical average of 98 since January 2022. March's consensus is 89.9, up from 89.4 in February.
Producer inflation in Japan is expected to accelerate further to 0.8 percent in March after rising to 0.6 percent in February from the recent low of 0.2 percent seen in the previous two months as the base-year effect of utility subsidies that began in early 2023 had waned. But the downward pressure is still coming from utilities, which fell more than 20 percent in February, and the prices for lumber, steel and chemicals also remain below year-earlier levels. The taming effects of these items are partly offset by higher energy and transportation costs amid the conflict in the Middle East and the yen's weakness. On the Month, the corporate goods price index (CGPI) is forecast to rise 0.4 percent following a 0.2 percent gain.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has been keeping policy steady even though inflation has remained stubbornly high, at 4.7 percent in the fourth quarter. Consensus for April's meeting is once again no change for the policy rate at 5.50 percent. The RBNZ will release its decision at 2 p.m. in Wellington on Wednesday, which is 10 p.m. EDT Tuesday (0200 GMT Wednesday).