Consensus | Actual | Previous | Revised | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Industrial Production - M/M | 0.2% | 0.3% | -0.8% | -1.3% |
Industrial Production - Y/Y | 0.6% | -0.1% | 0.4% | -0.5% |
Manufacturing Output - M/M | 0.3% | 0.4% | -1.1% | -1.2% |
Manufacturing Output - Y/Y | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Highlights
Manufacturing performed marginally better, posting a 0.4 percent monthly gain but this only dented October's revised 1.2 percent slump. This was also its first advance in four months and reflected growth in nine of the 13 subsectors amongst which pharmaceuticals (4.8 percent), food, drink and tobacco and coke and refined petroleum products (both 1.4 percent) stood out.
Elsewhere, total industrial production was boosted by a 2.2 percent jump in oil and gas extraction and a 0.2 percent increase in electricity and gas but hit by a 1.0 percent fall in water supply and sewerage.
The latest data leave overall industrial production down 1.5 percent in the latest three months and all but guarantee that the sector will weigh on fourth quarter GDP growth. Absent any revisions, December will need a monthly spurt of fully 4.0 percent just to hold the quarter flat. Today's updates put the UK RPI at 21 and the RPI-P at 16. Both readings show a moderate degree of overall economic outperformance making no change in Bank Rate at the BoE's MPC meeting next month all the more likely.
Market Consensus Before Announcement
Definition
Description
Industrial production accounts for less than 16 percent of the economy within which the key manufacturing sector is worth about ten percentage points. Total manufacturing is divided into thirteen sub-sectors, ranging from food, drink and tobacco through chemicals and chemical products to electronics and transport equipment. Consequently, this report has a big influence on market behavior. In any given month, one can see whether capital goods or consumer goods are growing more rapidly. Are manufacturers still producing construction supplies and other materials? This detailed report shows which sectors of the economy are growing and which are not.
Investors want to keep their finger on the pulse of the economy because it usually dictates how various types of investments will perform. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers more subdued growth that won't lead to inflationary pressures. By tracking economic data such as industrial production, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for these markets and their portfolios.