Consensus | Actual | Previous | |
---|---|---|---|
Composite Index | 48.8 | 49.3 | 47.8 |
Services Index | 49.1 | 49.8 | 48.5 |
Highlights
Service sector activity was also less weak than previously reported with the 49.1 flash sector PMI being revised up to 49.8, a 4-month peak. New business fell for a sixth successive month but at least the rate of decline was the most shallow in five months. Backlogs were also trimmed but this in part reflected further modest gains in employment. Business confidence remained historically subdued but still claimed a 4-month high.
Inflation pressures in services remained elevated but the rate of increase in input costs and output prices still eased to 11- and 4-month lows respectively.
Regionally in terms of national composite output indices, the best performing member state was Spain (49.9) which was just above Italy (49.6), France (49.1) and Germany (49.0).
The revised PMI data suggest that a probable contraction in Eurozone fourth quarter real GDP will be only mild. However, with demand still falling, near-term prospects remain grim and the economy could well be in recession by the end of the current period. That said, today's update puts both the ECDI and ECDI-P at 3, signalling that overall economic activity is at least performing much as the forecasters anticipated.