Thu Oct 26 19:30:00 CDT 2017

Actual Previous
Quarter over Quarter 0.2% 0.5%
Year over Year 1.6% 1.7%

Australia's producer price index for the final demand stage of production increased by 0.2 percent on the quarter in the three months to September after increasing by 0.5 percent in the three months to June. The quarterly increase in the headline index reflects stronger prices received by firms in the utilities and construction sectors, partly offset by falls in prices received by firms in parts of the manufacturing and agriculture sectors.

Year-on-year growth in the index eased from 1.7 percent in the three months to June to 1.6 percent in the three months to September. This small decline follows increases in each of the three previous quarters with annual producer price inflation still close to its average level over the last five years.

Other data released this week showed a drop in export prices in the three months to September, down 3.0 percent on the quarter after a decline of 5.7 percent in the three months to June. Import prices fell by 1.6 percent on the quarter in the three months to September, weakening from a decline of 0.1 percent in the three months to June.

The producer price index (PPI) is a measure of the average price level for a fixed basket of capital and consumer goods paid by producers. This release contains indexes for final demand, intermediate demand and preliminary demand along with indexes for industries. The PPI for final demand is considered the main index.

The PPI measures prices at the producer level before they are passed along to consumers. Since the producer price index measures prices of consumer goods and capital equipment, a portion of the inflation at the producer level gets passed through to the consumer price index (CPI). By tracking price pressures in the pipeline, investors can anticipate inflationary consequences in coming months. A producer's price is the amount received by a producer from the purchaser of a unit of goods or services produced as output less any value added tax similar deductible tax, invoiced to the purchaser. It excludes any transportation charges invoiced separately by the producer. Unlike most other countries, Australia calculates its PPI on a quarterly basis.

The PPI is considered a precursor of both consumer price inflation and profits. If the prices paid to manufacturers increase, businesses are faced with either charging higher prices or they taking a cut in profits. The ability to pass along price increases depends on the strength and competitiveness of the marketplace.

The bond market rallies when the PPI decreases or posts only small increases, but bond prices fall when the PPI posts larger-than-expected gains. The equity market rallies with the bond market because low inflation promises low interest rates and is good for profits.