The Philly Fed was very strong and so is the manufacturing PMI at 55.1 for the flash January score, up 8 tenths from final December (up 9 tenths from the December flash) and the strongest reading since March 2015. Production is also as strong as it's been since March 2015 while growth in new orders is the best since November 2014. Purchasing activity is up, inventories are rising, employment is improving, and selling prices are showing traction. One note of caution is that order growth is centered in the domestic economy as export orders remain flat. The Philly Fed report at mid-month reads much like this report, both pointing to a significant pop higher for a factory sector that slogged through 2016.
Based on monthly questionnaire surveys of selected companies, the Purchasing Managers' Manufacturing Index (PMI) offers an advance indication on month-to-month activity in the private sector economy by tracking changes in variables such as output, new orders, stock levels, employment and prices across manufacturing industries. The flash index, usually released about a week before the final, gives a preliminary reading of conditions for the current month.
Purchasing Managers' Manufacturing Index (PMIs) is based on monthly questionnaire surveys of selected companies which provide an advance indication of what is really happening in the private sector economy. The flash index, usually released about a week before the final, gives a preliminary reading of conditions for the current month.
Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. By tracking economic data such as the ISM manufacturing index in the U.S. and the Markit PMIs in the U.S. and elsewhere, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for the various markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures.
The Markit PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.