JP: Unemployment Rate

December 26, 2016 05:30 CST

Consensus Actual Previous
Level 3.0% 3.1% 3.0%

Japan's unemployment rate rose slightly to 3.1 in November, up from 3.0 percent in October and September and above the consensus forecast of 3.0 percent. The unemployment rate has now been at 3.0 percent or 3.1 percent for the last six months, dropping from levels of 3.2 percent and 3.3 percent earlier in the year.

The number of employed persons in November was up 730,000 (1.1 percent) compared with the same month last year, while the number of unemployed persons has fallen by 120,000 (5.7 percent) over this period. Japan's participation rate eased from 60.4 in October to 60.0 in November but remains at a relatively strong level.

Today's data shows that Japan's economy is continuing to post solid jobs growth, with low unemployment and strong labour force participation. Although wages growth remains modest for now, officials at the Bank of Japan have consistently cited the strong labour market as one of the factors supporting their view that inflation will start to rise once the impact of lower oil prices fades.

The Unemployment Rate measures the number of unemployed as a percentage of the labor force. The unemployment rate is part of the Labour Force Survey which also includes employment data.

The unemployment rate and employment change are carefully monitored. The employment data show the number employment along with the change in employment for the previous year. Monthly changes in employment also help clarify whether businesses are hiring. The unemployment rate is the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed. A lower jobless rate translates into more income earning workers and greater consumption. Increased spending is a positive for consumer oriented economic growth, something that has lagged in Japan.

By tracking the jobs data, investors can sense the degree of tightness in the job market. If wage inflation threatens, it's a good bet that interest rates will rise; bond and stock prices will fall. No doubt that the only investors in a good mood will be the ones who watched the employment report and adjusted their portfolios to anticipate these events.