The current economic landscape is marked by rising uncertainty largely driven by trade policies that can impact growth, the rate of inflation and‌ reshape capital flows. The result has been heightened volatility in a wide range of markets, especially in equities with some markets briefly entering correction territory. How do investors navigate through this period of turbulence and what tools are available to them to protect their portfolios by mitigating risks or to capitalize on potential trading opportunities? Here are some possible solutions:

Select Sector Index futures and options offer investors a flexible toolkit to manage equity exposures, hedge uncertainty, transfer risk and express market views.

  • Options on futures offer:
    • Multiple ways to trade and manage risk events with various expiration dates
    • Direct trading of sector index volatility
    • Execution and flexibility via Globex, UDS,1 delta-hedged solutions and blocks‌
    • Over- and under-weight strategies, which allow investors to capture alpha or rotate sectors by trading specific sector exposures
  • Capital efficiency and trading costs are key benefits, with Sector Index futures and options contracts providing margin efficiencies not available through holding underlying stocks or ETFs.
  • Cost efficiency – Given larger notional sizes on options on futures, they can be potentially more cost efficient versus adjacent markets, particularly for CME Group customers (non-member) where they can see reductions of at least 70%. 
  • Liquidity – Select Sector index futures have record average daily volume (ADV) liquidity to around 26,000 contracts across the suite year to date (+20% ytd).

Challenging macro environment in 2025 sees equity market rotation

Investors had to reconsider their risk and manage their exposures recently given the outlook for U.S. economic activity with the introduction of tariffs on a variety of trading partners. As depicted in Exhibit 1, this has resulted in option implied volatility rising rapidly, with varying magnitudes of impact across sectors, indicating relative rewards for sector-weighting decisions.

Sector futures and options can be deployed in a variety of strategies, including: strategic and tactical tilts to facilitate sector rotation; spreading opportunities, allowing the capture of the differences between sector indices and their constituent stocks or broader indices and portfolio overlays that hedge unintended sector risks. 

Exhibit 1: Rolling historical front-month ATM implied volatility data (%)

Price dispersion in S&P U.S. Select Sector Indices

Exhibit 2 illustrates the price performance of the S&P U.S. Select Sector Index since 2024, depicting a range of over 30% among the sectors. 

Exhibit 2: S&P Select Sector dispersion (rebased)

During March 2025, defensive sectors sentiment in Energy and Health Care Select Sectors led the way in Q1, up 10% and 7%, respectively, as depicted in table 1. In comparison, the S&P 500 was down 4.59% in Q1.

Table 1: Price performance of S&P U.S. Select Sectors and Dow Jones Sector in Q1

S&P U.S. Select Sector Index

Globex Code

MTD

3M

12M

Energy 

XAE

3.47%

9.98%

2.32%

DJ Real Estate

RX

3.07%

2.56%

5.83%

Utilities 

XAU

0.26%

4.94%

23.87%

Consumer Staples

XAP

-1.14%

4.48%

9.81%

Health Care

XAV

-1.70%

6.54%

0.40%

Real Estate

XAR

-2.41%

3.58%

9.60%

Materials 

XAB

-2.71%

2.72%

-5.61%

Industrials 

XAI

-3.59%

-0.19%

5.65%

Financials 

XAF

-4.20%

3.52%

20.18%

Communication Services

XAZ

-5.18%

0.00%

19.53%

Consumer Discretionary

XAY

-8.31%

-11.72%

8.38%

Technology 

XAK

-8.32%

-11.01%

-0.16%

Table 1: Price performance of S&P U.S. Select Sectors and Dow Jones Sector in Q1 2025.

What’s been going on in correlation historically?

Exhibit 3 depicts how the average monthly correlation among S&P 500® stocks has changed over time. Correlation was historically high after the 2008 global financial crisis, but it attenuated over the next decade, further picking up during the COVID-19 pandemic and the 2022 bear market bringing a temporary return to the average. With lower correlation in observed stock returns, the options market will typically reflect market participants’ expectations for a differing risk environment, as expressed in terms of implied volatility.

Exhibit 3: Contribution of sectors to S&P 500 dispersion at long-term average

Diversification via sector rotation?

Diversification is a way of spreading exposures and may boost risk-adjusted returns over periods as and when opportunities arise. Market participants may consider cross-sector versus index relative value opportunities when considering both implied and historical volatility as depicted in Exhibit 4.
Additionally, gaining beta exposure to an entire sector while reducing single-company risk. For further insights, please refer to Tactics and Strategy with Equity Sectors.

Exhibit 4: S&P 500 index and S&P sector average correlation and dispersion (12-month historical volatility)

Under this scenario, options can provide precision in managing risks around policy changes as well as events like earnings announcements. Investors can protect against market movements, for example, for downside protection against earnings by purchasing put options on the technology select sector index. Protective puts on futures offer a simple and effective way to mitigate the risks of market downturns while keeping your portfolio positioned for upside.

Use options to manage risks and exposures around uncertainty

Where uncertainty exists, investors will need to manage and incorporate:

  • Pricing risk – Expressing volatility and directional views
    Market participants looking to capture the difference between implied and realized volatility can take directional views on which are overvalued (sell) or undervalued (buy).
  • Straddles – For less directional conviction and more neutral positions that profit from volatility. In this position, a market participant buys a call and put with the same strike price and expiration date on an underlying asset to leverage volatility in either direction.
  • Strangles – Similarly, another neutral position, whereby a market participant buys or sells a call and put at different strike prices on the same expiry.
  • Timing risk – Using calendar spreads, investors can combine the buying and selling of sector index contracts with different maturities.
  • Hedging market risk and managing directional risk – Hedge unintended sector risk in stock-specific portfolios or to fine-tune a broad market hedging instrument such as S&P 500 futures on a tactical basis.
  • Outright options and strategies  – Strategies using option packages that spread out exposure, like:
    • Vertical spreads are options contracts on an underlying asset that are either both a call or put but have different strike prices on the same expiry. It's a trade that reflects a trader's view that a price will move in an expected direction.
    • Variations via calendar spreads or ratio spreads.

Options on S&P Select Sector index futures are here

Demand has been growing over the last few years to trade and risk-manage U.S. sector index exposures in a transparent, standardized format via listed futures and options on futures. Being exchange-traded and cleared helps mitigate counterparty risk, which is particularly important for derivatives, structured products as well as other market participants like hedge funds and asset owners/managers.

A total of seven Sector options are available, including six options on E-mini S&P Select Sector futures and options on Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate futures:

  • Options on E-mini S&P Select Sector Energy Index futures (XAE)
  • Options on E-mini S&P Select Sector Financial Index futures (XAF)
  • Options on E-mini S&P Select Sector Health Care Index futures (XAV)
  • Options on E-mini S&P Select Sector Industrial Index futures (XAI)
  • Options on E-mini S&P Select Sector Technology Index futures (XAK)
  • Options on E-mini S&P Select Sector Utilities Index futures (XAU)
  • Options on Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index futures (RX)

Sector index options on futures are contracts that give the holder the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell a Sector index futures contract at a predetermined price within a specified time frame. Sector index options are physically delivered into the underlying futures. The listing cycle is quarterly for the next two consecutive quarterly contracts. They're American-style options, which means they can be exercised and assigned at any time up to expiration.2

Exhibit 5: Select Sector Index products volume and open interest (OI)

Execution choices via the CLOB and blocks

Market participants can use various execution choices to deploy their trades. There's functionality that allows the delta to be assigned with execution of options and futures; thus when hedging options with futures slippage can be minimized.

Centralized Limit Order Book (CLOB) – Flexibility in execution choice when trading options, or as privately negotiated blocks, providing an alternative to the opaque OTC market. While pricing on the CLOB is anonymous and credit agnostic, the screen liquidity provided by market makers offers transparency of prices and indications of tradable size.

Options strategy flexibility – On the CME Globex platform, traders can initiate various option strategies on screen, from simple "outright" trades to complex, multi-leg strategies to fine-tune Greek exposures near expiry. The platform supports user-defined options spreads (UDS), and ‌RFQs (request for quotes) allows for the creation of a centralized limit order book (CLOB) for each UDS. Traders have the ability to implement multi-leg strategies and utilize RFQs while remaining anonymous. They can also effectively manage risks with up to 40 legs, reducing the impact of "leg risk" and bid/ask spreads. RFQs work alongside screen liquidity and enable investors to‌ obtain better prices without any obligation.

CME Direct exhibits screen liquidity for Select Sector index options, as shown in the CLOB screenshot (Exhibit 6).

Exhibit 6: Screenshot of CME Direct highlighting screen liquidity on the CLOB

Block trading on options

  • Block trading liquidity enables market participants to transact larger sizes, minimizing slippage and market impact risk.
  • Block transactions can be privately negotiated, consummated and reported, thus mitigating breakup risk.
  • Both screen and block trade structures allow delta management, minimizing slippage when hedging options with futures.
  • Market participants should consult the contract specifications for additional details, including block requirements and reporting information as they're subject to change. Find liquidity providers.

Costs of trading options vs. adjacent markets

Regarding the trading costs in respect of exchange fees, one can compare what it would cost to trade the options on equivalent select sector ETFs to that of the cost of trading sector ETFs vs options on futures.

From a trading cost perspective, based on exchange fees alone and excluding execution and clearing (FCM) fees, options on Select Sector index futures compare favorably to the options on the select sector index ETFs. This is based on the following assumptions:

  • To trade a notional amount of $100M as an example. 
  • Trading at least 100 lots as an outright. 
  • Exclude execution and clearing (FCM) fees.  
  • Comparing customer non-member rates, on this basis, the cost for customers can see reductions of between 71-91% relative to the options on the ETF market.
  • Note that 5 out of the 7 sectors have notionals in options on futures that are 10x the equivalent options on the ETF notional.

Table 2: Exchange fee costs of trading sector options for customer

Sector Energy Financials Healthcare Industrials Technology Utilities DJ Real Estate
Ticker XAE XAF XAV XAI XAK XAU RX
Future price 966 607 1,478 1,341 2,161 791 365
Futures contract size 100 250 100 100 100 100 100
Futures notional in $ 96,600 151,750 147,800 134,100 216,100 79,100 36,500
Equivalent ETF XLE XLF XLV XLI XLK XLU IYR
ETF price 92.3 49.41 146.6 133.3 214.7 78.6 95.24
ETF Options multiplier 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
ETF option notional 9,230 4,941 14,660 13,330 21,470 7,860 9524
Fee to trade $100m notional option on future 569 362 372 410 255 695 3,781
Fee to trade $100m notional option on ETF 1,950 3,643 1,228 1,350 838 2,290 1,890
% reduction -71% -90% -70% -70% -70% -70% 100%

Source: CME Group, CBOE based on a snapshot as of March 19, 2025
Fee assumptions based on the following fees:
https://www.cmegroup.com/company/clearing-fees.html
https://cdn.cboe.com/resources/membership/Cboe_FeeSchedule.pdf
* assumptions for customer, >100 contracts
CME fee on option on futures - $0.55; CBOT fee on option on futures - $1.38; CBOE ETF option fee - $0.18

Operational and capital efficiencies using options

When managing portfolio risk, operational and capital efficiencies can benefit options traders regardless of risk tolerance.

  • Capital efficiency: CME Clearing provides margin offsets between options on Select Sector index futures and the underlying Select Sector index futures and options on Select Sector futures will also have margin offsets with the broader Equity Index complex, such as E-mini S&P 500 futures (ES).
  • Centralized clearing allows market participants to offset their positions in listed futures and options, thus allowing for capital efficiency via portfolio margining.
  • The ability to portfolio margin between futures and options may allow for posting significantly less margin, which may also help to facilitate cross-hedging opportunities.
  • For example, the initial margin on a long position in E-mini Energy Select Sector futures is currently approximately 7%. As a comparison, an OTC sector swap under ISDA SIMM margin requirements (UMR) currently has 19% initial margin, so futures offer 12% capital savings.³ The equivalent ETF is fully funded, so futures offer 93% capital savings.
  • Some fully funded investors may choose to hold stocks in a margin account, but that would require a minimum of 50%. In this scenario, futures offer 43% capital savings.
  • Market participants may qualify for margin offsets with other contracts, including offsets specific to the underlying Equity Index futures.
  • CME CORE is an interactive margin calculator that enables you to determine and evaluate your initial margin requirements and run indicative margin requirements on all of our products.

Options on Select Sector Index futures toolkit summary

  • Appeal to a wide range of investors:
    • Buy-side and sell-side: Banks, asset managers, hedge funds‌ and proprietary trading desk
    • Equity investors: Manage and hedge directional risk.
    • Relative value investors: Capture spreading opportunities.
    • Liquidity providers and market makers: Enhance market liquidity.
    • Macro investors: Express and overlay macroeconomic views.
  • Hedge uncertainty, transfer risk, express market views‌ and manage exposures.
  • Explore diversification via spreading exposures and cross-sector versus index relative value opportunities.
  • Cost efficiency: Given larger notional sizes on options on futures, they can be potentially more cost efficient on adjacent markets, particularly for customers (non-member) where they can see reductions of at least 70%.
  • Flexibility: Wide variety of options strategies, direct index volatility trading‌ and delta-hedged solutions. Transparent execution CLOB or privately negotiated blocks.
  • Liquidity: ADV in S&P Select Sector Index futures of around 21,000 lots.
  • Operational and capital efficiencies, which can benefit options traders.

Appendix

Characteristics of options on Select Sector index futures

  • Time decay: Value decreases as expiration approaches.
  • Volatility: High price fluctuations can affect option value.
  • Liquidity: Some options may have lower liquidity.
  • Complexity: Requires a deep understanding of market dynamics and option pricing.

Underlying index methodology

References


All examples in this report are hypothetical interpretations of situations and are used for explanation purposes only. The views in this report reflect solely those of the author and not necessarily those of CME Group or its affiliated institutions. This report and the information herein should not be considered investment advice or the results of actual market experience.

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