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Latin America
Global growth lacks punch
The OECD released its leading economic indicators overnight. The data can provide a glimpse of the trend in global growth. The graphic below displays a picture of activity by major regions. The OECD LEI is projecting sluggish growth in the U.S. with the index easing lower. In the 5 largest Asian economies, the trend is steadily lower consistent with weakness in China and India and the apparent loss of momentum in Japan. Like Asia, the EZ continues to sink lower. The bright spot appears to be Brazil where the index has been trending upward. The data tends to underscore a weak trend in global growth. Treasury valuations reflect a weak global growth outlook and dis-inflationary pressures. The trend in the LEI data tends to support the low rate environment. A recovery in LEI numbers, especially in the EZ and Asia, would brighten the growth picture to the detriment of treasury prices.
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*Disclaimer: The information in the Market Commentaries was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed therein constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options contracts.
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