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Chinese exports and the 10 year yield
Chinese exports rose 2.7% y/y in August. The pace of growth is on the weak side of history. At times, there is a positive relationship between the growth rate of Chinese exports and the direction of the 10 year treasury. The takeaway from the graphic is a sharp rise in Chinese exports would argue for a rise in 10 year yields. Current export growth in China is consistent with weak global growth and tending to put downward pressure on treasury yields.
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*Disclaimer: The information in the Market Commentaries was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed therein constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any futures or options contracts.
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