US: EIA Petroleum Status Report

Wed Oct 28 09:30:00 CDT 2015

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Crude oil inventories (weekly change) 3.4M barrels 8.0M barrels
Gasoline (weekly change) -1.1M barrels -1.5M barrels
Distillates (weekly change) -3.0M barrels -2.6M barrels

Oil stocks keep rising, up 3.4 million barrels in the October 23 week to 480.0 million. Refinery demand for oil is moderate with refineries operating at 87.6 percent of capacity in the week, well down from 90 percent plus readings when output is active. Gasoline inventories fell 1.1 million barrels in the week with distillates down 3.0 million. But refineries may very well pick up output based on demand indications which are strong, up a year-on-year 3.4 percent for gasoline and up 10.0 for distillates. WTI, near $45.50, is up about 50 cents in early reaction to today's results.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) provides weekly information on petroleum inventories in the U.S., whether produced here or abroad. The level of inventories helps determine prices for petroleum products.

Petroleum product prices are determined by supply and demand - just like any other good and service. During periods of strong economic growth, one would expect demand to be robust. If inventories are low, this will lead to increases in crude oil prices - or price increases for a wide variety of petroleum products such as gasoline or heating oil. If inventories are high and rising in a period of strong demand, prices may not need to increase at all, or as much. During a period of sluggish economic activity, demand for crude oil may not be as strong. If inventories are rising, this may push down oil prices.

Crude oil is an important commodity in the global market. Prices fluctuate depending on supply and demand conditions in the world. Since oil is such an important part of the economy, it can also help determine the direction of inflation. In the U.S., consumer prices have moderated whenever oil prices have fallen, but have accelerated when oil prices have risen.