AU: RBA Announcement

Mon Jul 06 23:30:00 CDT 2015

Consensus Actual Previous
Change 0bp 0bp 0bp
Level 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%

As expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its policy interest rate at 2.0 percent where it has been since May alongside an accommodative statement.

Regarding the Australian dollar, it acknowledged that it had declined noticeably against a rising U.S. dollar over the past year, though less so against a basket of currencies. The statement once again said that further depreciation of the currency seems both likely and necessary, particularly given the significant declines in key commodity prices.

The Board today judged that leaving the cash rate unchanged was appropriate at this meeting. Information on economic and financial conditions to be received over the period ahead will inform the Board's assessment of the outlook and hence whether the current stance of policy will most effectively foster sustainable growth and inflation consistent with the target.

In its statement, the RBA noted that although the economy continued to growth over the past year, it is growing at less than its long term average and is likely to be operating with a degree of spare capacity for some time. With very slow growth in labour costs, inflation is forecast to remain consistent with the target over the next one to two years, even with a lower exchange rate.

It noted that the global economy is expanding at a moderate pace, but some key commodity prices are much lower than a year ago. This trend appears largely to reflect increased supply, including from Australia. Australia's terms of trade are falling nonetheless. It said that the Federal Reserve is expected to start increasing its policy rate later this year but some other central banks continue to ease policy.

The central bank of Australia announces its monetary policy with regard to interest rates on the first Tuesday of each month with the exception of January.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA's) main responsibility is monetary policy. Policy decisions are made by the Reserve Bank Board with the objective of achieving low and stable inflation over the medium term. Other responsibilities include maintaining financial system stability, while at the same time promoting the safety and efficiency of the payments system. The RBA regards appropriate monetary policy as a major factor contributing to the Australian dollar's stability, which in turn leads to full employment and the economic prosperity for Australia.

The RBA is unique among the central banks - it has two boards with complementary responsibilities. The Reserve Bank Board is responsible for monetary policy and overall financial system stability. The Payments System Board has specific responsibility for the safety and efficiency of the payments system.

The RBA sets an interest rate at which it lends to financial institutions. This interest rate then affects the whole range of interest rates set by commercial banks and other institutions for their own savers and borrowers. It also tends to affect the price of financial assets, such as bonds and shares, and the exchange rate, which affect consumer and business demand in a variety of ways. Lowering or raising interest rates affects spending in the economy.

The level of interest rates affects the economy. Higher interest rates tend to slow economic activity; lower interest rates stimulate economic activity. Either way, interest rates influence the sales environment. In the consumer sector, few homes or cars will be purchased when interest rates rise. Furthermore, interest rate costs are a significant factor for many businesses, particularly for companies with high debt loads or who have to finance high inventory levels. This interest cost has a direct impact on corporate profits. The bottom line is that higher interest rates are bearish for the financial markets, while lower interest rates are bullish.