CN: PMI Manufacturing Index

Sun May 31 20:45:00 CDT 2015

Actual Previous
level 49.2 48.9

May manufacturing PMI continued to contract for a third month, this time with a reading of 49.2, a slight improvement from April's 48.9 reading. Companies signaled a renewed contraction of output as total new business declined for the third month running. Data suggested that weaker demand overseas was a key factor behind the latest decline in new business, as new export work declined at the steepest rate since June 2013. Meanwhile, deflationary pressures in the sector eased, with both input and output prices recording the slowest rates of deflation since August 2014.

May data signaled a renewed fall in Chinese manufacturing output, after production volumes stagnated in April. Although the rate of decline was only marginal, it was the first time that output had contracted since last December. Anecdotal evidence suggested that a softening in market conditions had dampened client demand. Furthermore, the latest fall in new export business was the sharpest in nearly two years.

Employment at Chinese goods producers declined again in May, extending the current sequence of job shedding to 19 months. According to anecdotal evidence, lower production requirements and the non-replacement of voluntary leavers led to reduced staff numbers. Meanwhile, backlogs of work rose fractionally over the month, after a slight reduction during April.

Purchasing Managers' Manufacturing Index (PMIs) is based on monthly questionnaire surveys of selected companies which provide an advance indication of what is really happening in the private sector economy by tracking changes in variables such as output, new orders, stock levels, employment and prices across the manufacturing sectors.

Investors need to keep their fingers on the pulse of the economy because it dictates how various types of investments will perform. By tracking economic data such as the purchasing managers' manufacturing indexes, investors will know what the economic backdrop is for the various markets. The stock market likes to see healthy economic growth because that translates to higher corporate profits. The bond market prefers less rapid growth and is extremely sensitive to whether the economy is growing too quickly and causing potential inflationary pressures.

The Markit PMI manufacturing data give a detailed look at the manufacturing sector, how busy it is and where things are headed. Since the manufacturing sector is a major source of cyclical variability in the economy, this report has a big influence on the markets. And its sub-indexes provide a picture of orders, output, employment and prices.